So I didn’t bother staying up to watch the election returns last night, figuring that the results would be the same in the morning either way. When I thought “same,” I didn’t think I meant this:
That’s a difference of 585 votes, for those of you who are working on that in your head. That is pretty goddamn close—closer than I’d’ve liked. But unless someone decides to just withdraw at this point, I think we’re gonna be watching this one for a bit. Even after all the ballots are finally counted, which could hypothetically take a few days (and with something like 0.04% of the total vote as the difference between teh candidates, either could easily be in the lead when that’s completed), there’s almost assuredly going to be the recount (which the state conducts for free in this case if the gap is less than about 3,500 votes, if my math is right).
For those of us rooting for Kloppenburg, there is one potentially good bit to look at: Of the 34 precincts (listing by county) that haven’t reported in yet, only 2 come from counties that have gone for Prosser; of the ones that have been going to Kloppenburg, a number of them have been incredibly strong local victories, so I think there’s a lot of hope to be had still.
[EDIT/UPDATE: In the uncounted votes, assuming average number of voters at those locations, Kloppenburg only needs a 51/49 split in her favor to take the lead. It’d need to be somewhere upwards of a 57/43 to start avoiding the recount. I don’t expect to see reports of how the remaining ones are dividing up, but that 57/43 is pretty similar to Kloppenburg’s numbers look in a lot of the counties that have unreporting precincts yet, so this isn’t out of her reach for an outright win, yet. Or his, for that matter.]
In less ambiguous news, Chris Abele has taken Milwaukee County in a landslide, and the guy running for the 4th circuit seat in Waukesha County that I hate (based almost solely on reading a transcript of the debate, which is a whole different post) did likewise. Oh, and in Washington, Republicans are going to shut down the federal government on Friday.
If you want to track any of what I discussed on your own, I recommend the Milwaukee Journal Sentinal’s state politics page. It’s fantastic.